Catherine Cortez Masto · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26
Catherine Cortez Masto is priced at 61¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 57¢ bid, 64¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 12 inside KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26.
Price history
61¢ current
+58¢Contract brief
If Catherine Cortez Masto votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Catherine Cortez Masto
Rank
#8 of 12
Leader
Jerry Moran 73¢
Range
17¢-73¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-CMAS
Jun 25, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
57¢
Ask
64¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#8 of 12
12 outcomes · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
57 / 64¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Catherine Cortez Masto votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-CMAS
Event family
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Jerry Moran 73¢
Current share
—
Jerry Moran
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-JMOR
Josh Hawley
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-JHAW
Angela Alsobrooks
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-AALS
Mike Lee
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-MLEE
Mark Warner
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-MWAR
Ruben Gallego
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-RGAL
Lisa Blunt Rochester
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-LROC
Catherine Cortez Masto
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-CMAS
Rand Paul
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-RPAU
Kirsten Gillibrand
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-KGIL
Raphael Warnock
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-RWAR
Andy Kim
kalshi · KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-AKIM
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.