SimpleFunctions

Myles Garrett · KXNFLT100TOP-26T10

Myles Garrett is priced at 87¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 80¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside KXNFLT100TOP-26T10.

Price history

87¢ current

85¢90¢
Jul 13, 2026Jul 13, 2026

Contract brief

If Myles Garrett is ranked in the Top 10 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Myles Garrett

Rank

#2 of 6

Leader

Matthew Stafford 82¢

Range

8¢-82¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNFLT100TOP-26T10-MGARRETT95

Jul 13, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

87¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 13, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

80¢

Ask

94¢

Spread

14¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#2 of 6

6 outcomes · KXNFLT100TOP-26T10

Closes

Sep 9, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

80 / 94¢

Kalshi
14¢ spread
BidSize
80¢400
AskSize
94¢5
95¢100
99¢125

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Myles Garrett is ranked in the Top 10 on the NFL Top 100 List in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 9, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLT100TOP-26T10-MGARRETT95

SF Signal
SF Index
1247.99
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

156.0%

IY (No)

2496.0%

Adj IY

1248%

CRI

4

Overround

2.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

156.0%
2496.0%
Adj IY
1248%
4
Overround
2.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.