Will Myles Garrett be Top 25 on the Pro Football Top 100 List
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 54% across 17 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
54%
17 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
17 contracts
Closes
Sep 9, 2026
59 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
11 clusters across 17 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 33% of their title tokens — “Will Myles Garrett be Top” vs “Will Bijan Robinson be Top”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Will Myles Garrett be Top
Will Myles Garrett be Top 10 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?: Myles Garrett
KXNFLT100TOP-26T10-MGARRETT95
Will Myles Garrett be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?: Myles Garrett
KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-MGARRETT95
Will Myles Garrett be Top 25 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?: Myles Garrett
KXNFLT100TOP-26T25-MGARRETT95
Cluster 2
Will Bijan Robinson be Top
Cluster 3
Will Drake Maye be Top
Cluster 4
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be Top
Cluster 5
Will Matthew Stafford be Top
Cluster 6
Will Josh Allen be Top 10 on the Pro Football Top 100 List
Will Josh Allen be Top 10 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?: Josh Allen
KXNFLT100TOP-26T10-JALLEN17
Cluster 7
Will Ja'Marr Chase be Top 25 on the Pro Football Top 100 List
Will Ja'Marr Chase be Top 25 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?: Ja'Marr Chase
KXNFLT100TOP-26T25-JCHASE1
Cluster 8
Will Pat Surtain II be Top 25 on the Pro Football Top 100 List
Will Pat Surtain II be Top 25 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?: Pat Surtain II
KXNFLT100TOP-26T25-PSURTAIN2
Cluster 9
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?: Jahmyr Gibbs
KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-JGIBBS0
Cluster 10
Will Justin Jefferson be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List
Will Justin Jefferson be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?: Justin Jefferson
KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-JJEFFERSON18
Cluster 11
Will Lamar Jackson be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List
Will Lamar Jackson be Top 5 on the Pro Football Top 100 List?: Lamar Jackson
KXNFLT100TOP-26T5-LJACKSON8
Analysis
This probability reflects market expectations that Myles Garrett will rank between 1st and 25th on the NFL's annual Pro Football Top 100 list, voted by players. Garrett's inclusion in the top 25 hinges primarily on his 2025 season performance and how voters perceive his defensive impact relative to other elite pass rushers and defenders. Related markets suggest stronger confidence in a top-10 placement (50¢) compared to top-25 (36¢), indicating some uncertainty about whether he performs at an elite enough level to secure recognition among the league's best. The list typically releases in summer, making recent performance data and playoff success key inputs for voter consideration.
- ›Garrett's 2025 regular season sack total and pressure statistics compared to other elite defensive ends
- ›His health status heading into the 2025 season following any prior injuries
- ›Historical voting patterns showing typical threshold for top-25 inclusion at his defensive position
- ›Recent playoff performance and standout moments that might influence player voters
- ›Competitive field of edge rushers and defensive linemen potentially competing for similar ranking slots
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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