NEAR trimmed mean above $4.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026
Above $4.00 is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 76¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 23¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside Will NEAR trimmed mean be above $.
Price history
96¢ current
+92¢Contract brief
If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ 4.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $4.00
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Above $4.00 83¢
Range
4¢-83¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXNEARMAXY-NEAR-26DEC31-400
Sep 20, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 45m ago
Implied probability
Bid
76¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
23¢
24h volume
$370
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · Will NEAR trimmed mean be above $
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
76 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ 4.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXNEARMAXY-NEAR-26DEC31-400
Event family
Will NEAR trimmed mean be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Above $4.00 83¢
Current share
75%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.