NEAR trimmed mean below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026
Below $1.00 is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 99¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $.
Price history
40¢ current
+38¢Contract brief
If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $1.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Below $1.00
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Below $1.00 40¢
Range
10¢-40¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNEARMINY-NEAR-26DEC31-100
Aug 11, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
99¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $1.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXNEARMINY-NEAR-26DEC31-100
Event family
Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Below $1.00 40¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.