Nebraska US Senate · KXMOVKSNESEN-26NOV03
Nebraska US Senate is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXMOVKSNESEN-26NOV03.
Price history
46¢ current
+34¢Contract brief
If Nebraska US Senate achieves the largest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Kansas US Senate and Nebraska US Senate, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Nebraska US Senate
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Nebraska US Senate 49¢
Range
42¢-49¢
Family volume
$210
Identifier
KXMOVKSNESEN-26NOV03-NESEN
Sep 21, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
49¢
Ask
56¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXMOVKSNESEN-26NOV03
Closes
Nov 10, 2026
Family volume
$210
Orderbook snapshot
49 / 56¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Nebraska US Senate achieves the largest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Kansas US Senate and Nebraska US Senate, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 10, 2026
Identifier
KXMOVKSNESEN-26NOV03-NESEN
Event family
KXMOVKSNESEN-26NOV03.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$210
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Nebraska US Senate 49¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.