Nebraska win at least 4 games this season
4+ wins is priced at 77¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 54¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 45¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside Will Nebraska win at least.
Price history
77¢ current
+33¢Contract brief
If the Nebraska college football team has at least 4 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
4+ wins
Rank
#3 of 7
Leader
6+ wins 72¢
Range
4¢-72¢
Family volume
$966
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26NEB-4
Jul 23, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
54¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
45¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#3 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Nebraska win at least
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Family volume
$966
Orderbook snapshot
54 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Nebraska college football team has at least 4 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26NEB-4
Event family
Will Nebraska win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$966
Outcomes
7
Highest price
6+ wins 72¢
Current share
0%
6+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26NEB-6
5+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26NEB-5
4+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26NEB-4
7+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26NEB-7
8+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26NEB-8
9+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26NEB-9
12 wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26NEB-12
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.