New England · KXNFL1SEED-AFC26
New England is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 11 inside KXNFL1SEED-AFC26.
Price history
22¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If New England is the #1 seed in the American Football Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-2027 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
New England
Rank
#5 of 11
Leader
Buffalo 19¢
Range
1¢-19¢
Family volume
$118
Identifier
KXNFL1SEED-AFC26-NE
Jun 26, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$9
Family rank
#5 of 11
11 outcomes · KXNFL1SEED-AFC26
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Family volume
$118
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If New England is the #1 seed in the American Football Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-2027 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Identifier
KXNFL1SEED-AFC26-NE
Event family
KXNFL1SEED-AFC26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$118
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Buffalo 19¢
Current share
0%
Buffalo
kalshi · KXNFL1SEED-AFC26-BUF
Baltimore
kalshi · KXNFL1SEED-AFC26-BAL
Houston
kalshi · KXNFL1SEED-AFC26-HOU
Kansas City
kalshi · KXNFL1SEED-AFC26-KC
New England
kalshi · KXNFL1SEED-AFC26-NE
Cincinnati
kalshi · KXNFL1SEED-AFC26-CIN
Los Angeles C
kalshi · KXNFL1SEED-AFC26-LAC
Denver
kalshi · KXNFL1SEED-AFC26-DEN
Indianapolis
kalshi · KXNFL1SEED-AFC26-IND
Jacksonville
kalshi · KXNFL1SEED-AFC26-JAC
Pittsburgh
kalshi · KXNFL1SEED-AFC26-PIT
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.