SimpleFunctions

New York G win at least 6 games in the first 12 weeks

New York G: 6+ wins in first 12 weeks is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12.

Price history

37¢ current

1¢
50¢
Aug 24, 2026Sep 19, 2026

Contract brief

If the New York G Pro Football wins at least 6 games in the first 12 weeks of the Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

New York G: 6+ wins in first 12 weeks

Rank

#7 of 16

Leader

Tampa Bay: 4+ wins in first 12 weeks 64¢

Range

11¢-64¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-NYG6

Sep 23, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 12m ago

Implied probability

37¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 23, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 12m ago

Bid

28¢

Ask

38¢

Spread

10¢

24h volume

$50

Family rank

#7 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12

Closes

Dec 8, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

28 / 38¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
28¢600
13¢100
AskSize
38¢600
98¢1.5K
99¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the New York G Pro Football wins at least 6 games in the first 12 weeks of the Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 8, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12-NYG6

SF Signal
SF Index
408.90
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W12.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Tampa Bay: 4+ wins in first 12 weeks 64¢

Current share

5%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

817.8%

IY (No)

282.1%

Adj IY

409%

CRI

2

Overround

63.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

817.8%
282.1%
Adj IY
409%
2
Overround
63.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.