New York Y · KXMLBTEAMSTAT-26MOSTHR
New York Y is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 10 inside KXMLBTEAMSTAT-26MOSTHR.
Price history
37¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If New York Y records the most home runs in the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
New York Y
Rank
#1 of 10
Leader
New York Y 37¢
Range
3¢-37¢
Family volume
$2
Identifier
KXMLBTEAMSTAT-26MOSTHR-NYY
Jul 11, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
37¢
Ask
45¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$1
Family rank
#1 of 10
10 outcomes · KXMLBTEAMSTAT-26MOSTHR
Closes
Sep 30, 2026
Family volume
$2
Orderbook snapshot
37 / 45¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If New York Y records the most home runs in the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 30, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBTEAMSTAT-26MOSTHR-NYY
Event family
KXMLBTEAMSTAT-26MOSTHR.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2
Outcomes
10
Highest price
New York Y 37¢
Current share
50%
New York Y
kalshi · KXMLBTEAMSTAT-26MOSTHR-NYY
Los Angeles D
kalshi · KXMLBTEAMSTAT-26MOSTHR-LAD
Washington
kalshi · KXMLBTEAMSTAT-26MOSTHR-WSH
Houston
kalshi · KXMLBTEAMSTAT-26MOSTHR-HOU
Seattle
kalshi · KXMLBTEAMSTAT-26MOSTHR-SEA
Philadelphia
kalshi · KXMLBTEAMSTAT-26MOSTHR-PHI
Detroit
kalshi · KXMLBTEAMSTAT-26MOSTHR-DET
Milwaukee
kalshi · KXMLBTEAMSTAT-26MOSTHR-MIL
Chicago WS
kalshi · KXMLBTEAMSTAT-26MOSTHR-CWS
Atlanta
kalshi · KXMLBTEAMSTAT-26MOSTHR-ATL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 37% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.