SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 8, 2026180 days left

Will New York Y win at least 90 games this season?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 81¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 73¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 11¢ spread.

Implied probability

81¢
$8K volume
$4K liquidity
238% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$3K

Best sibling

95+ wins 59¢

Ticker

KXMLBWINS-NYY-26-T90

Market snapshot

90+ wins in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will New York Y win at least 90 games this season?. The displayed quote is 81¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $2K. In the Will New York Y win at least family, this outcome ranks #4 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC.

Outcome

90+ wins

Family rank

#4 of 7

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

81¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Nov 8, 2026

24h volume

$2K

Family context

7 outcomes · Will New York Y win at least

Quote range

17¢-98¢

Family leader

75+ wins 98¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBWINS-NYY-26-T90. Family volume: $3K.

Price history

81¢ current

+22¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 12, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

73 / 84¢

Kalshi
11¢ spread
BidSize
73¢500
71¢604
67¢200
56¢16
50¢100
AskSize
84¢500
85¢11
86¢500
97¢45
98¢1.1K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If New York Y has 90+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 8, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBWINS-NYY-26-T90

SF Signal
SF Index
464.92
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will New York Y win at least.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

7

Highest price

75+ wins 98¢

Current share

60%

Browse this series

MLB Team Season Win Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLBWINS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

74.9%

IY (No)

547.4%

Adj IY

465%

CRI

3

RV

627%

VR

8.09

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

74.9%
547.4%
Adj IY
465%
3
RV
627%
VR
8.09
IAR
9.3/h
Overround
1.7%
LAS
0.15

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.