Nicolas Gonzalez · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG
Nicolas Gonzalez is priced at 49¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 92¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG.
Price history
49¢ current
+47¢Contract brief
If Nicolas Gonzalez scores a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Nicolas Gonzalez
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Alexis Mac Allister 21¢
Range
2¢-21¢
Family volume
$34
Identifier
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-NGONZALES
Jul 9, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
95¢
Spread
92¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Family volume
$34
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 95¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Nicolas Gonzalez scores a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Identifier
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-NGONZALES
Event family
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$34
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Alexis Mac Allister 21¢
Current share
0%
Alexis Mac Allister
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-AMACALLISTER
Julian Alvarez
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-JALVAREZ
Nicolas Gonzalez
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-NGONZALES
Exequiel Palacios
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-EPALACIOS
Flaco Lopez
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-FLOPEZ
Facundo Medina
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-FMENDINA
Gonzalo Montiel
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-GMONTIEL
Giuliano Simeone
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-GSIMEONE
Leonardo Balerdi
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-LBALERDI
Leandro Paredes
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-LPAREDES
Nahuel Molina
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-NMOLINA
Nicolas Otamendi
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-NOTAMENDI
Nico Paz
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-NPAZ
Nicolas Tagliafico
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-NTAGLIAFICO
Thiago Almada
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-TALMADA
Rodrigo De Paul
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-RDEPAUL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 49% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.