Nahuel Molina · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG
Nahuel Molina is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 94¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG.
Price history
3¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Nahuel Molina scores a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Nahuel Molina
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Julian Alvarez 44¢
Range
2¢-44¢
Family volume
$21
Identifier
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-NMOLINA
Jul 8, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
94¢
24h volume
$5
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Family volume
$21
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 94¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Nahuel Molina scores a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Identifier
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-NMOLINA
Event family
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$21
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Julian Alvarez 44¢
Current share
24%
Julian Alvarez
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-JALVAREZ
Alexis Mac Allister
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-AMACALLISTER
Nahuel Molina
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-NMOLINA
Exequiel Palacios
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-EPALACIOS
Flaco Lopez
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-FLOPEZ
Facundo Medina
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-FMENDINA
Gonzalo Montiel
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-GMONTIEL
Giuliano Simeone
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-GSIMEONE
Leonardo Balerdi
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-LBALERDI
Leandro Paredes
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-LPAREDES
Nicolas Gonzalez
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-NGONZALES
Nicolas Otamendi
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-NOTAMENDI
Nico Paz
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-NPAZ
Nicolas Tagliafico
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-NTAGLIAFICO
Thiago Almada
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-TALMADA
Rodrigo De Paul
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ARG-RDEPAUL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.