Above 245M · Will nimino have 2
Above 245M is priced at 98¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 62¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 35¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 12 inside Will nimino have 2.
Price history
98¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If nimino has Above 245M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 245M
Rank
#2 of 12
Leader
Above 255M 61¢
Range
20¢-61¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-245.0M
Sep 22, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 58m ago
Implied probability
Bid
62¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
35¢
Reported volume
$850
Family rank
#2 of 12
12 outcomes · Will nimino have 2
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
62 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If nimino has Above 245M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Identifier
KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-245.0M
Event family
Will nimino have 2.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Above 255M 61¢
Current share
—
Above 255M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-255.0M
Above 245M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-245.0M
Above 205M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-205.0M
Above 210M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-210.0M
Above 215M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-215.0M
Above 220M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-220.0M
Above 225M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-225.0M
Above 235M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-235.0M
Above 240M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-240.0M
Above 250M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-250.0M
Above 260M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-260.0M
Above 230M
kalshi · KXARTISTSTREAMSY-NIMINO26DEC31-230.0M
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.