SimpleFunctions

No Goal · KXWCFTTS-26JUN26EGYIRI

No Goal is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside KXWCFTTS-26JUN26EGYIRI.

Price history

12¢ current

+6¢
0¢10¢
Jun 10, 2026Jun 26, 2026

Contract brief

If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Egypt vs IR Iran professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

No Goal

Rank

#3 of 3

Leader

Egypt 48¢

Range

12¢-48¢

Family volume

$462

Identifier

KXWCFTTS-26JUN26EGYIRI-NONE

Jun 26, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

12¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

12¢

Ask

13¢

Spread

24h volume

$406

Family rank

#3 of 3

3 outcomes · KXWCFTTS-26JUN26EGYIRI

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Family volume

$462

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 13¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
12¢581
11¢1.5K
10¢750
8¢15
3¢480
AskSize
13¢750
14¢950
16¢691
24¢134
25¢217

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Egypt vs IR Iran professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Identifier

KXWCFTTS-26JUN26EGYIRI-NONE

SF Signal
SF Index
14854.92
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXWCFTTS-26JUN26EGYIRI.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$462

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Egypt 48¢

Current share

88%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

17826.6%

IY (No)

331.5%

Adj IY

14855%

CRI

7

RV

1480%

VR

0.86

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

17826.6%
331.5%
Adj IY
14855%
7
RV
1480%
VR
0.86
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
-0.0%
LAS
0.17

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.