SimpleFunctions

No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto by KAROL G have above 15000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026 tracking week

Above 15K is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 97¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 12 inside Will No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto by KAROL G have above.

Price history

96¢ current

+45¢
50¢75¢100¢
Jul 30, 2026Aug 7, 2026

Contract brief

If No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto by KAROL G has above 15K Album Equivalent Units during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 15K

Rank

#3 of 12

Leader

Above 10K 98¢

Range

67¢-98¢

Family volume

$8K

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-NOM26AUG13-15K

Aug 7, 2026, 6:09 PM UTC · 21m ago

Implied probability

96¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 7, 2026, 6:09 PM UTC · 21m ago

Bid

97¢

Ask

99¢

Spread

Reported volume

$930

Family rank

#3 of 12

12 outcomes · Will No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto by KAROL G have above

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Family volume

$8K

Orderbook snapshot

97 / 99¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
97¢269
96¢600
94¢786
92¢208
85¢100
AskSize
99¢1

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto by KAROL G has above 15K Album Equivalent Units during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-NOM26AUG13-15K

SF Signal
SF Index
100000.00
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

127.9%

IY (No)

>100,000%

Adj IY

>100,000%

CRI

32

RV

61%

VR

0.54

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

127.9%
>100,000%
Adj IY
>100,000%
32
RV
61%
VR
0.54
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
8.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.