SimpleFunctions

Notre Dame · KXNCAAFAPRANK-26W11R1

Notre Dame is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 47¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 8 inside KXNCAAFAPRANK-26W11R1.

Price history

12¢ current

+7¢
0¢25¢50¢
Aug 20, 2026Sep 2, 2026

Contract brief

If Notre Dame is ranked #1 on the College Football AP Poll Week 11 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 8, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Notre Dame

Rank

#8 of 8

Leader

Ohio St. 34¢

Range

5¢-34¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNCAAFAPRANK-26W11R1-ND

Sep 15, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

12¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 15, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

Ask

47¢

Spread

47¢

Reported volume

$579

Family rank

#8 of 8

8 outcomes · KXNCAAFAPRANK-26W11R1

Closes

Jan 14, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 47¢

Kalshi
47¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
47¢9.4K
59¢37
60¢28K
62¢90
73¢81K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Notre Dame is ranked #1 on the College Football AP Poll Week 11 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 8, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 14, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFAPRANK-26W11R1-ND

SF Signal
SF Index
2862.39
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5724.8%

IY (No)

15.9%

Adj IY

2862%

CRI

19

Overround

0.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5724.8%
15.9%
Adj IY
2862%
19
Overround
0.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.