SimpleFunctions

Vivek Ramaswamy and Sherrod Brown win to win Will Ohio Governor

Vivek Ramaswamy and Sherrod Brown win is priced at 10¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside Will Ohio Governor winner.

Price history

10¢ current

+3¢
5¢10¢
Jul 7, 2026Jul 7, 2026

Contract brief

If ALL of the following occur: Ohio Governor winner: Republican party, Ohio Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Vivek Ramaswamy and Sherrod Brown win

Rank

#3 of 4

Leader

Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win 45¢

Range

7¢-45¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXOHSENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPDEM

Jul 10, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

10¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 10, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

Ask

10¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#3 of 4

4 outcomes · Will Ohio Governor winner

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

9 / 10¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.1K
9¢9.2K
5¢1.6K
4¢250
3¢500
AskSize
10¢2.8K
11¢400
12¢250
13¢500
17¢400

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If ALL of the following occur: Ohio Governor winner: Republican party, Ohio Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXOHSENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPDEM

SF Signal
SF Index
383.34
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Ohio Governor winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win 45¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

766.7%

IY (No)

7.5%

Adj IY

383%

CRI

10

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

766.7%
7.5%
Adj IY
383%
10
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.