SimpleFunctions

Ohio St · KXNCAAFUNDEFEATEDHOME-27

Ohio St. is priced at 74¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 55¢ bid, 74¢ ask, 19¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXNCAAFUNDEFEATEDHOME-27.

Price history

74¢ current

+44¢
25¢50¢75¢
Aug 19, 2026Sep 12, 2026

Contract brief

If the Ohio St. college football team goes undefeated in home games (excluding neutral site games) in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Ohio St.

Rank

#2 of 16

Leader

James Madison 53¢

Range

3¢-53¢

Family volume

$200

Identifier

KXNCAAFUNDEFEATEDHOME-27-OSU

Sep 16, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

74¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 16, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

55¢

Ask

74¢

Spread

19¢

24h volume

$3

Family rank

#2 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFUNDEFEATEDHOME-27

Closes

Jan 8, 2027

Family volume

$200

Orderbook snapshot

55 / 74¢

Kalshi
19¢ spread
BidSize
55¢5
54¢1.0K
AskSize
74¢1.0K
75¢6
98¢2.6K
99¢259

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Ohio St. college football team goes undefeated in home games (excluding neutral site games) in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 8, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFUNDEFEATEDHOME-27-OSU

SF Signal
SF Index
220.56
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

441.1%

IY (No)

231.3%

Adj IY

221%

CRI

1

Overround

10.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

441.1%
231.3%
Adj IY
221%
1
Overround
10.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.