SimpleFunctions

Houston · KXNCAAFUNDEFEATEDHOME-27

Houston is priced at 34¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 33¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 18¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside KXNCAAFUNDEFEATEDHOME-27.

Price history

34¢ current

+8¢
25¢
Aug 22, 2026Sep 19, 2026

Contract brief

If the Houston college football team goes undefeated in home games (excluding neutral site games) in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Houston

Rank

#9 of 16

Leader

Ohio St. 74¢

Range

3¢-74¢

Family volume

$49

Identifier

KXNCAAFUNDEFEATEDHOME-27-HOU

Sep 21, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 1h ago

Implied probability

34¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 21, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 1h ago

Bid

33¢

Ask

51¢

Spread

18¢

24h volume

$10

Family rank

#9 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFUNDEFEATEDHOME-27

Closes

Jan 8, 2027

Family volume

$49

Orderbook snapshot

33 / 51¢

Kalshi
18¢ spread
BidSize
33¢1.0K
AskSize
51¢5
52¢10
53¢1.0K
96¢24
97¢5.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Houston college football team goes undefeated in home games (excluding neutral site games) in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 8, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFUNDEFEATEDHOME-27-HOU

SF Signal
SF Index
411.04
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

822.1%

IY (No)

137.1%

Adj IY

411%

CRI

2

Overround

8.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

822.1%
137.1%
Adj IY
411%
2
Overround
8.0%

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.