SimpleFunctions

Ohio St · KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12OSUTEX

Ohio St. is priced at 52¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12OSUTEX.

Price history

52¢ current

+17¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 20, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Ohio St. wins the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Ohio St.

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Texas 49¢

Range

46¢-49¢

Family volume

$50

Identifier

KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12OSUTEX-OSU

May 26, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

52¢
Latest venue quote
May 26, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

46¢

Ask

53¢

Spread

24h volume

$8

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12OSUTEX

Closes

Sep 14, 2026

Family volume

$50

Orderbook snapshot

46 / 53¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
46¢2
45¢10
42¢277
40¢14
29¢596
AskSize
53¢275
74¢386
88¢333
89¢2.6K
90¢800

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Ohio St. wins the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 14, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12OSUTEX-OSU

SF Signal
SF Index
191.62
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12OSUTEX.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$50

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Texas 49¢

Current share

16%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

383.2%
278.1%
Adj IY
192%
1

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.