Oklahoma · KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12OKLAMICH
Oklahoma is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 52¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12OKLAMICH.
Price history
43¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Oklahoma wins the Oklahoma vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Oklahoma
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Michigan 51¢
Range
44¢-51¢
Family volume
$551
Identifier
KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12OKLAMICH-OKLA
Jul 12, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
44¢
Ask
52¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$528
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12OKLAMICH
Closes
Sep 14, 2026
Family volume
$551
Orderbook snapshot
44 / 52¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Oklahoma wins the Oklahoma vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 14, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12OKLAMICH-OKLA
Event family
KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12OKLAMICH.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$551
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Michigan 51¢
Current share
96%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 43% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.