SimpleFunctions

Ole Miss · KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP06LOUMISS

Ole Miss is priced at 72¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 62¢ bid, 75¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP06LOUMISS.

Price history

72¢ current

+64¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 21, 2026May 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Ole Miss wins the Louisville vs Ole Miss college football game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Ole Miss

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Ole Miss 62¢

Range

25¢-62¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP06LOUMISS-MISS

May 24, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 4m ago

Implied probability

72¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 4m ago

Bid

62¢

Ask

75¢

Spread

13¢

Reported volume

$3

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP06LOUMISS

Closes

Sep 8, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

62 / 75¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
62¢200
30¢357
10¢755
8¢648
7¢300
AskSize
75¢200
89¢547
90¢800
93¢300
94¢507

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Ole Miss wins the Louisville vs Ole Miss college football game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 8, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP06LOUMISS-MISS

SF Signal
SF Index
277.54
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP06LOUMISS.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Ole Miss 62¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

208.5%
555.1%
Adj IY
278%
2

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.