Olivier Faure · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30
Olivier Faure is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 87¢ ask, 86¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30.
Price history
5¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Olivier Faure is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Olivier Faure
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
Éric Zemmour 83¢
Range
1¢-83¢
Family volume
$327
Identifier
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-OFAU
Sep 24, 2026, 11:14 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
87¢
Spread
86¢
Reported volume
$470
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30
Closes
Jun 30, 2027
Family volume
$327
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 87¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Olivier Faure is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 30, 2027
Identifier
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-OFAU
Event family
KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$327
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Éric Zemmour 83¢
Current share
0%
Éric Zemmour
kalshi · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-EZEM
Fabien Roussel
kalshi · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-FROU
François Hollande
kalshi · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-FHOL
Bruno Retailleau
kalshi · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-BRET
Édouard Philippe
kalshi · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-EPHI
Dominique de Villepin
kalshi · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-DVIL
François Asselineau
kalshi · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-FASS
Gabriel Attal
kalshi · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-GATT
François Ruffin
kalshi · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-FRUF
Bernard Cazeneuve
kalshi · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-BCAZ
Jordan Bardella
kalshi · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-JBAR
Olivier Faure
kalshi · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-OFAU
Clémentine Autain
kalshi · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-CAUT
Gérald Darmanin
kalshi · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-GDAR
Jérôme Guedj
kalshi · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-JGUE
Jean Lassalle
kalshi · KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-JLAS
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.