Real Estate · Will OpenAI be assigned
Real Estate is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 25¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 12 inside Will OpenAI be assigned.
Price history
4¢ current
Contract brief
If OpenAI is assigned to the Real Estate sector, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Real Estate
Rank
#4 of 12
Leader
Information Technology 86¢
Range
1¢-86¢
Family volume
$1
Identifier
KXOPENAISECTOR-XX-REALESTAT
Sep 20, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
25¢
Spread
25¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#4 of 12
12 outcomes · Will OpenAI be assigned
Closes
Jan 11, 2028
Family volume
$1
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 25¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If OpenAI is assigned to the Real Estate sector, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 11, 2028
Identifier
KXOPENAISECTOR-XX-REALESTAT
Event family
Will OpenAI be assigned.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Information Technology 86¢
Current share
0%
Information Technology
kalshi · KXOPENAISECTOR-XX-INFORMATI
Unassigned
kalshi · KXOPENAISECTOR-XX-UNASSIGNE
Communication Services
kalshi · KXOPENAISECTOR-XX-COMMUNICA
Real Estate
kalshi · KXOPENAISECTOR-XX-REALESTAT
Health Care
kalshi · KXOPENAISECTOR-XX-HEALTHCAR
Materials
kalshi · KXOPENAISECTOR-XX-MATERIALS
Consumer Discretionary
kalshi · KXOPENAISECTOR-XX-CONSUMERD
Consumer Staples
kalshi · KXOPENAISECTOR-XX-CONSUMERS
Energy
kalshi · KXOPENAISECTOR-XX-ENERGY
Financials
kalshi · KXOPENAISECTOR-XX-FINANCIAL
Industrials
kalshi · KXOPENAISECTOR-XX-INDUSTRIA
Utilities
kalshi · KXOPENAISECTOR-XX-UTILITIES
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.