Before Oct 9, 2026 · Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before
Before Oct 9, 2026 is priced at 62¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 8 inside Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before.
Price history
62¢ current
Contract brief
If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Oct 9, 2026
Rank
#5 of 8
Leader
Before Nov 13, 2026 31¢
Range
3¢-31¢
Family volume
$78
Identifier
KXGPT-ASTRA61-26OCT09
Sep 20, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
19¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
9¢
24h volume
$3
Family rank
#5 of 8
8 outcomes · Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Family volume
$78
Orderbook snapshot
19 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Identifier
KXGPT-ASTRA61-26OCT09
Event family
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$78
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Before Nov 13, 2026 31¢
Current share
0%
Before Nov 13, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-ASTRA61-26NOV13
Before Nov 6, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-ASTRA61-26NOV06
Before Oct 30, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-ASTRA61-26OCT30
Before Oct 23, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-ASTRA61-26OCT23
Before Oct 9, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-ASTRA61-26OCT09
Before Oct 16, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-ASTRA61-26OCT16
Before Oct 2, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-ASTRA61-26OCT02
Before Sep 25, 2026
kalshi · KXGPT-ASTRA61-26SEP25
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 62% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.