SimpleFunctions

Oracle Corporation report above 135000 total full-time employees in 2027

Above 135000 is priced at 70¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 69¢ bid, 70¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 8 inside Will Oracle Corporation report above 1.

Price history

70¢ current

+68¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jun 24, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Oracle Corporation reports above 135000 total full-time employees in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 135000

Rank

#3 of 8

Leader

Above 125000 92¢

Range

2¢-92¢

Family volume

$214

Identifier

KXORCLA-28JANHEAD-135000

Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

70¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

69¢

Ask

70¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#3 of 8

8 outcomes · Will Oracle Corporation report above 1

Closes

Mar 31, 2028

Family volume

$214

Orderbook snapshot

69 / 70¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.1K
69¢223
9¢1.3K
8¢450
2¢51
AskSize
70¢6
76¢306
98¢959
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Oracle Corporation reports above 135000 total full-time employees in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Mar 31, 2028

Identifier

KXORCLA-28JANHEAD-135000

SF Signal
SF Index
62.93
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

25.4%

IY (No)

125.9%

Adj IY

63%

CRI

2

Overround

2.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

25.4%
125.9%
Adj IY
63%
2
Overround
2.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.