Winner-take-all answer·8 source contracts·Kalshi 8·refreshed just now

Will Oracle Corporation report above 125000 total full-time employees in 2027

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Leader sits at 92% across 8 bound outcomes, runner-up at 84%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

92%

Above 125000

0¢runner-up 84¢leader 92¢

Outcomes

winner-take-all

Runner-up

84¢

Above 130000

Spread

8pp

contested

24h volume

$168

thin orderbook

Closes

—

not derived

Venue

Kalshi

8 bound

Open top contract Read answer

Source contractsPriceVolume

Will Oracle Corporation report above 125000 total full-time employees in 2027?: Above 12500092¢$0 Will Oracle Corporation report above 130000 total full-time employees in 2027?: Above 13000084¢$0 Will Oracle Corporation report above 135000 total full-time employees in 2027?: Above 13500069¢$0 Will Oracle Corporation report above 140000 total full-time employees in 2027?: Above 14000052¢$0

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

Will Oracle Corporation report above 1

8 contracts$168

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

Will Oracle Corporation report above 155000 total full-time employees in 2027?: Above 155000

KXORCLA-28JANHEAD-155000

4¢—$96K→

Will Oracle Corporation report above 160000 total full-time employees in 2027?: Above 160000

KXORCLA-28JANHEAD-160000

3¢—$72K→

Will Oracle Corporation report above 150000 total full-time employees in 2027?: Above 150000

KXORCLA-28JANHEAD-150000

13¢—$0K→

Will Oracle Corporation report above 145000 total full-time employees in 2027?: Above 145000

KXORCLA-28JANHEAD-145000

26¢—$0K→

Will Oracle Corporation report above 135000 total full-time employees in 2027?: Above 135000

KXORCLA-28JANHEAD-135000

69¢—$0K→

Will Oracle Corporation report above 140000 total full-time employees in 2027?: Above 140000

KXORCLA-28JANHEAD-140000

52¢—$0K→

Will Oracle Corporation report above 130000 total full-time employees in 2027?: Above 130000

KXORCLA-28JANHEAD-130000

84¢—$0K→

Will Oracle Corporation report above 125000 total full-time employees in 2027?: Above 125000

KXORCLA-28JANHEAD-125000

92¢—$0K→

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

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