Oregon · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10
Oregon is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 51¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 44¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10.
Price history
95¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Oregon is ranked top 10 on the College Football AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Oregon
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Texas Tech 99¢
Range
2¢-99¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-ORE
Jul 16, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 50m ago
Implied probability
Bid
51¢
Ask
95¢
Spread
44¢
Reported volume
$31
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10
Closes
Sep 29, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
51 / 95¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Oregon is ranked top 10 on the College Football AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 29, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-ORE
Event family
KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Texas Tech 99¢
Current share
—
Texas Tech
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-TTU
Notre Dame
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-ND
BYU
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-BYU
Texas
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-TEX
Indiana
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-IND
Miami (FL)
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-MIA
Oregon
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-ORE
Oklahoma
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-OKLA
Penn St.
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-PSU
LSU
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-LSU
South Carolina
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-SCAR
Alabama
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-ALA
Ohio St.
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-OSU
Georgia
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-UGA
Ole Miss
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-MISS
Clemson
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-CLEM
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.