Output Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 be at or below $20/MTok in 2026
$20/MTok or below is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside Will Output Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 be at or below $.
Price history
33¢ current
+16¢Contract brief
If the Output Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 on https://openai.com/api/pricing/ is at or below $20 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
$20/MTok or below
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
$25/MTok or below 41¢
Range
11¢-41¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXGBT55OY-27-NA-20
Jun 25, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
32¢
Ask
33¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$300
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · Will Output Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 be at or below $
Closes
Apr 1, 2027
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
32 / 33¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Output Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 on https://openai.com/api/pricing/ is at or below $20 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Apr 1, 2027
Identifier
KXGBT55OY-27-NA-20
Event family
Will Output Token Price of OpenAI GPT 5.5 be at or below $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
$25/MTok or below 41¢
Current share
28%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.