Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $8/MTok in 2026
$8/MTok or below is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $.
Price history
20¢ current
−12¢Contract brief
If the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard is at or below $8 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
$8/MTok or below
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
$8/MTok or below 19¢
Range
2¢-19¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXGEMINI35OY-27-NA-8
Jun 27, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
19¢
Ask
24¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $
Closes
Apr 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
19 / 24¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard is at or below $8 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Apr 1, 2027
Identifier
KXGEMINI35OY-27-NA-8
Event family
Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
4
Highest price
$8/MTok or below 19¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.