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Over 0.5 goals scored

Over 0.5 goals scored is priced at 85¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 85¢ bid, 86¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside KXWCTOTAL-26JUN27DZAAUT.

Price history

85¢ current

+83¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jun 5, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If over 0.5 goals are scored in the Algeria vs Austria professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Over 0.5 goals scored

Rank

#1 of 6

Leader

Over 0.5 goals scored 85¢

Range

2¢-85¢

Family volume

$30K

Identifier

KXWCTOTAL-26JUN27DZAAUT-1

Jun 23, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

85¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

85¢

Ask

86¢

Spread

24h volume

$14K

Family rank

#1 of 6

6 outcomes · KXWCTOTAL-26JUN27DZAAUT

Closes

Jul 12, 2026

Family volume

$30K

Orderbook snapshot

85 / 86¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
85¢1.1K
84¢8.6K
83¢1.1K
82¢8.6K
81¢375
AskSize
86¢5.4K
87¢2.7K
88¢8.7K
89¢1.2K
90¢1.8K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If over 0.5 goals are scored in the Algeria vs Austria professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 12, 2026

Identifier

KXWCTOTAL-26JUN27DZAAUT-1

SF Signal
SF Index
10837.66
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

349.9%

IY (No)

11234.2%

Adj IY

10838%

CRI

6

RV

92%

VR

0.51

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

349.9%
11234.2%
Adj IY
10838%
6
RV
92%
VR
0.51
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
1.1%
LAS
0.04

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.