Over 1.5 goals scored
Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored is priced at 70¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 69¢ bid, 70¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside KXWCTOTAL-26JUL15ENGARG.
Price history
70¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If over 1.5 goals are scored in the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored 89¢
Range
3¢-89¢
Family volume
$45K
Identifier
KXWCTOTAL-26JUL15ENGARG-2
Jul 13, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
69¢
Ask
70¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$13K
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · KXWCTOTAL-26JUL15ENGARG
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Family volume
$45K
Orderbook snapshot
69 / 70¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If over 1.5 goals are scored in the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTOTAL-26JUL15ENGARG-2
Event family
KXWCTOTAL-26JUL15ENGARG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$45K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored 89¢
Current share
28%
Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored
kalshi · KXWCTOTAL-26JUL15ENGARG-1
Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored
kalshi · KXWCTOTAL-26JUL15ENGARG-2
Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored
kalshi · KXWCTOTAL-26JUL15ENGARG-3
Reg Time: Over 3.5 goals scored
kalshi · KXWCTOTAL-26JUL15ENGARG-4
Reg Time: Over 4.5 goals scored
kalshi · KXWCTOTAL-26JUL15ENGARG-5
Reg Time: Over 5.5 goals scored
kalshi · KXWCTOTAL-26JUL15ENGARG-6
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.