Over 2.5 goals scored
Over 2.5 goals scored is priced at 59¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 58¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside KXMLSTOTAL-26JUL25NYCCHI.
Price history
59¢ current
+48¢Contract brief
If over 2.5 goals are scored in the New York City vs Chicago Fire professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Over 2.5 goals scored
Rank
#3 of 6
Leader
Over 0.5 goals scored 95¢
Range
7¢-95¢
Family volume
$864
Identifier
KXMLSTOTAL-26JUL25NYCCHI-3
Jul 24, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
58¢
Ask
59¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$859
Family rank
#3 of 6
6 outcomes · KXMLSTOTAL-26JUL25NYCCHI
Closes
Aug 8, 2026
Family volume
$864
Orderbook snapshot
58 / 59¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If over 2.5 goals are scored in the New York City vs Chicago Fire professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLSTOTAL-26JUL25NYCCHI-3
Event family
KXMLSTOTAL-26JUL25NYCCHI.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$864
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Over 0.5 goals scored 95¢
Current share
99%
Over 0.5 goals scored
kalshi · KXMLSTOTAL-26JUL25NYCCHI-1
Over 1.5 goals scored
kalshi · KXMLSTOTAL-26JUL25NYCCHI-2
Over 2.5 goals scored
kalshi · KXMLSTOTAL-26JUL25NYCCHI-3
Over 3.5 goals scored
kalshi · KXMLSTOTAL-26JUL25NYCCHI-4
Over 4.5 goals scored
kalshi · KXMLSTOTAL-26JUL25NYCCHI-5
Over 5.5 goals scored
kalshi · KXMLSTOTAL-26JUL25NYCCHI-6
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.