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Over 3.5 goals scored

Over 3.5 goals scored is priced at 28¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside KXUELTOTAL-26JUL16UCLDYK.

Price history

28¢ current

+26¢
0¢25¢
Jul 9, 2026Jul 13, 2026

Contract brief

If over 3.5 goals are scored in the Uni Cluj vs Dynamo Kyiv professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Over 3.5 goals scored

Rank

#3 of 4

Leader

Over 1.5 goals scored 69¢

Range

11¢-69¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXUELTOTAL-26JUL16UCLDYK-4

Jul 13, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

28¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 13, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

25¢

Ask

31¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#3 of 4

4 outcomes · KXUELTOTAL-26JUL16UCLDYK

Closes

Jul 30, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 31¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
25¢49
22¢568
9¢37
8¢126
7¢202
AskSize
31¢181
35¢49
66¢703
67¢25
69¢58

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If over 3.5 goals are scored in the Uni Cluj vs Dynamo Kyiv professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 30, 2026

Identifier

KXUELTOTAL-26JUL16UCLDYK-4

SF Signal
SF Index
6304.34
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXUELTOTAL-26JUL16UCLDYK.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Over 1.5 goals scored 69¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

6304.3%

IY (No)

700.5%

Adj IY

6304%

CRI

3

RV

17686%

VR

2.81

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

6304.3%
700.5%
Adj IY
6304%
3
RV
17686%
VR
2.81
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
0.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.