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Over 3.5 goals scored

Over 3.5 goals scored is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 6 inside KXWCTOTAL-26JUN27CODUZB.

Price history

27¢ current

+23¢
0¢25¢
Jun 5, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If over 3.5 goals are scored in the Congo DR vs Uzbekistan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Over 3.5 goals scored

Rank

#4 of 6

Leader

Over 0.5 goals scored 93¢

Range

4¢-93¢

Family volume

$11K

Identifier

KXWCTOTAL-26JUN27CODUZB-4

Jun 24, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

27¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 24, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

27¢

Ask

28¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#4 of 6

6 outcomes · KXWCTOTAL-26JUN27CODUZB

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Family volume

$11K

Orderbook snapshot

27 / 28¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
27¢1.5K
26¢26K
25¢4.1K
24¢13K
23¢678
AskSize
28¢10K
29¢16K
30¢15K
31¢4.5K
32¢578

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If over 3.5 goals are scored in the Congo DR vs Uzbekistan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Identifier

KXWCTOTAL-26JUN27CODUZB-4

SF Signal
SF Index
2837.41
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5674.8%

IY (No)

776.3%

Adj IY

2837%

CRI

3

Overround

1.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5674.8%
776.3%
Adj IY
2837%
3
Overround
1.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.