Paramount · KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30
Paramount is priced at 81¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 80¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30.
Price history
81¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If qualifying public announcements indicate Paramount's takeover of Warner Brothers has succeeded Before July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Paramount
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Paramount 80¢
Range
2¢-80¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30-PSKY
Jun 25, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
80¢
Ask
81¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$808
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30
Closes
Jul 1, 2027
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
80 / 81¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If qualifying public announcements indicate Paramount's takeover of Warner Brothers has succeeded Before July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30-PSKY
Event family
KXTAKEOVERACQWB-27JUN30.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Paramount 80¢
Current share
15%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
financial
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 81% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.