Paris Hilton · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20
Paris Hilton is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXWCATTEND-26JUL20.
Price history
36¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Paris Hilton attends the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Paris Hilton
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Tom Brady 94¢
Range
11¢-94¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-PAR
Jul 13, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
36¢
Ask
38¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$399
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20
Closes
Jul 20, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
36 / 38¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Paris Hilton attends the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 20, 2026
Identifier
KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-PAR
Event family
KXWCATTEND-26JUL20.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Tom Brady 94¢
Current share
7%
Tom Brady
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-TBRA
David Beckham
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-DAV
Victoria Beckham
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-VIC
Jay-Z
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-JAY
Tom Holland
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-TOMH
Timothée Chalamet
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-TIM
Paris Hilton
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-PAR
Zendaya
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-ZEN
Tom Cruise
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-TOM
Brad Pitt
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-BRA
Leonardo DiCaprio
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-LEO
Drake
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-DRA
Travis Kelce
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-TRAV
Kendall Jenner
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-KEN
Kim Kardashian
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-KIM
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-TAY
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.