Tom Holland · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20
Tom Holland is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 38¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXWCATTEND-26JUL20.
Price history
38¢ current
+23¢Contract brief
If Tom Holland attends the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tom Holland
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Tom Brady 94¢
Range
11¢-94¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-TOMH
Jul 13, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
38¢
Ask
39¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$177
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20
Closes
Jul 20, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
38 / 39¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tom Holland attends the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 20, 2026
Identifier
KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-TOMH
Event family
KXWCATTEND-26JUL20.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Tom Brady 94¢
Current share
3%
Tom Brady
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-TBRA
David Beckham
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-DAV
Victoria Beckham
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-VIC
Jay-Z
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-JAY
Tom Holland
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-TOMH
Timothée Chalamet
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-TIM
Paris Hilton
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-PAR
Zendaya
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-ZEN
Tom Cruise
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-TOM
Brad Pitt
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-BRA
Leonardo DiCaprio
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-LEO
Kylie Jenner
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-KYL
Drake
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-DRA
Travis Kelce
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-TRAV
Kendall Jenner
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-KEN
Kim Kardashian
kalshi · KXWCATTEND-26JUL20-KIM
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.