Pato O’Ward · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26
Pato O’Ward is priced at 72¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 69¢ bid, 75¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26.
Price history
72¢ current
Contract brief
If Pato O’Ward finishes in the top 10 in the Main Event at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Pato O’Ward
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Alex Palou 83¢
Range
10¢-83¢
Family volume
$163
Identifier
KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-PAOW
Aug 7, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
69¢
Ask
75¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26
Closes
Sep 6, 2026
Family volume
$163
Orderbook snapshot
69 / 75¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Pato O’Ward finishes in the top 10 in the Main Event at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 6, 2026
Identifier
KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-PAOW
Event family
KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$163
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Alex Palou 83¢
Current share
0%
Alex Palou
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-ALPA
Pato O’Ward
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-PAOW
Kyle Kirkwood
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-KYKI
Christian Lundgaard
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-CHLU
Josef Newgarden
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-JONE
David Malukas
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-DAMA
Marcus Ericsson
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-MAER
Felix Rosenqvist
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-FERO
Marcus Armstrong
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-MAAR
Graham Rahal
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-GRRA
Alexander Rossi
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-ALRO
Kyffin Simpson
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-KYSI
Christian Rasmussen
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-CHRA
Louis Foster
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-LOFO
Dennis Hauger
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-DEHA
Caio Collet
kalshi · KXINDYCARTOP10-FREEDOM26-CACO
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.