Pau Cubarsi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP
Pau Cubarsi is priced at 50¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 91¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP.
Price history
50¢ current
+48¢Contract brief
If Pau Cubarsi scores a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Pau Cubarsi
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Ferran Torres 31¢
Range
2¢-31¢
Family volume
$94
Identifier
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-PCUBARSI
Jul 9, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
95¢
Spread
91¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Family volume
$94
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 95¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Pau Cubarsi scores a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Identifier
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-PCUBARSI
Event family
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$94
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ferran Torres 31¢
Current share
0%
Ferran Torres
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-FTORRES
Dani Olmo
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-DOLMO
Rodri
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-RODRI
Fabian Ruiz
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-FRUIZ
Pedri
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-PEDRI
Nico Williams
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-NWILLIAMS
Gavi
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-GAVI
Pau Cubarsi
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-PCUBARSI
Borja Iglesias
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-BIGLESIAS
Victor Munoz
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-VMUNOZ
Yeremy Pino
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-YPINO
Martin Zubimendi
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-MZUBIMENDI
Marcos Llorente
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-MLLORENTE
Alejandro Grimaldo
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-AGRIMALDO
Aymeric Laporte
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-ALAPORTE
Marc Cucurella
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-MCUCURELLA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Computing Liquidity Availability Score from the Orderbook
Step-by-step guide to computing the Liquidity Availability Score in TypeScript and Python, with edge cases for thin orderbooks, missing data, and the warm-cron coverage limitation.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 50% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.