Dani Olmo · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP
Dani Olmo is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP.
Price history
40¢ current
+37¢Contract brief
If Dani Olmo scores a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Dani Olmo
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Dani Olmo 29¢
Range
3¢-29¢
Family volume
$37
Identifier
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-DOLMO
Jul 8, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
29¢
Ask
41¢
Spread
12¢
24h volume
$14
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Family volume
$37
Orderbook snapshot
29 / 41¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Dani Olmo scores a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Identifier
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-DOLMO
Event family
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$37
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Dani Olmo 29¢
Current share
38%
Dani Olmo
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-DOLMO
Ferran Torres
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-FTORRES
Pedri
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-PEDRI
Marc Cucurella
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-MCUCURELLA
Fabian Ruiz
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-FRUIZ
Rodri
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-RODRI
Nico Williams
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-NWILLIAMS
Gavi
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-GAVI
Pau Cubarsi
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-PCUBARSI
Alejandro Grimaldo
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-AGRIMALDO
Aymeric Laporte
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-ALAPORTE
Borja Iglesias
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-BIGLESIAS
Eric Garcia
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-EGARCIA
Marcos Llorente
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-MLLORENTE
Marc Pubill
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-MPUBILL
Martin Zubimendi
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ESP-MZUBIMENDI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.