Paul Skenes · KXESPYS-26BMP
Paul Skenes is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside KXESPYS-26BMP.
Price history
2¢ current
Contract brief
If Paul Skenes wins Best Pro Baseball Player at the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Paul Skenes
Rank
#3 of 5
Leader
Shohei Ohtani 98¢
Range
1¢-98¢
Family volume
$275
Identifier
KXESPYS-26BMP-PAU
Jul 11, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$6K
Family rank
#3 of 5
5 outcomes · KXESPYS-26BMP
Closes
Jul 16, 2027
Family volume
$275
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Paul Skenes wins Best Pro Baseball Player at the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 16, 2027
Identifier
KXESPYS-26BMP-PAU
Event family
KXESPYS-26BMP.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$275
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Shohei Ohtani 98¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.