Shohei Ohtani · KXESPYS-26BMP
Shohei Ohtani is priced at 98¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 98¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside KXESPYS-26BMP.
Price history
98¢ current
+96¢Contract brief
If Shohei Ohtani wins Best Pro Baseball Player at the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Shohei Ohtani
Rank
#1 of 5
Leader
Shohei Ohtani 98¢
Range
1¢-98¢
Family volume
$85
Identifier
KXESPYS-26BMP-SHO
Jul 12, 2026, 3:53 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
98¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$40
Family rank
#1 of 5
5 outcomes · KXESPYS-26BMP
Closes
Jul 16, 2027
Family volume
$85
Orderbook snapshot
98 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Shohei Ohtani wins Best Pro Baseball Player at the 2026 ESPYS, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 16, 2027
Identifier
KXESPYS-26BMP-SHO
Event family
KXESPYS-26BMP.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$85
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Shohei Ohtani 98¢
Current share
47%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 98% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.