Penn St · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27
Penn St. is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXNCAAFFINALIST-27.
Price history
13¢ current
+10¢Contract brief
If Penn St. is one of the teams to reach the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Penn St.
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Georgia 13¢
Range
2¢-13¢
Family volume
$670
Identifier
KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-PSU
Jun 22, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$707
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27
Closes
Jan 25, 2027
Family volume
$670
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Penn St. is one of the teams to reach the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 25, 2027
Identifier
KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-PSU
Event family
KXNCAAFFINALIST-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$670
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Georgia 13¢
Current share
0%
Georgia
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-UGA
Alabama
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-ALA
Penn St.
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-PSU
Auburn
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-AUB
BYU
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-BYU
California
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-CAL
Clemson
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-CLEM
Ole Miss
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-MISS
Arizona
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-ARIZ
Arkansas
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-ARK
Arizona St.
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-ASU
Baylor
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-BAY
Florida
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-FLA
Florida St.
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-FSU
Georgia Tech
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-GT
Houston
kalshi · KXNCAAFFINALIST-27-HOU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 13% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.