SimpleFunctions

Philadelphia · KXNFL1SEED-NFC26

Philadelphia is priced at 9¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 9 inside KXNFL1SEED-NFC26.

Price history

9¢ current

+7¢
0¢10¢
Jun 21, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Philadelphia is the #1 seed in the National Football Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-2027 Pro Football regular season , then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Philadelphia

Rank

#5 of 9

Leader

Los Angeles R 26¢

Range

5¢-26¢

Family volume

$25

Identifier

KXNFL1SEED-NFC26-PHI

Jun 26, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

9¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jun 26, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

Ask

10¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#5 of 9

9 outcomes · KXNFL1SEED-NFC26

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$25

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 10¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
7¢100
6¢3.5K
5¢100
4¢3.5K
3¢3.5K
AskSize
10¢3.5K
11¢4.0K
12¢3.5K
20¢504
21¢142

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Philadelphia is the #1 seed in the National Football Conference at the conclusion of the 2026-2027 Pro Football regular season , then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFL1SEED-NFC26-PHI

SF Signal
SF Index
2351.72
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2351.7%

IY (No)

13.3%

Adj IY

2352%

CRI

13

RV

11768%

VR

5.08

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2351.7%
13.3%
Adj IY
2352%
13
RV
11768%
VR
5.08
IAR
0.9/h
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.