SimpleFunctions

Philadelphia Waterdogs · KXPLL-26

Philadelphia Waterdogs is priced at 23¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside KXPLL-26.

Price history

23¢ current

+21¢
0¢10¢20¢
May 8, 2026May 21, 2026

Contract brief

If the Philadelphia Waterdogs win the 2026 Premier Lacrosse League (PLL) Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Philadelphia Waterdogs

Rank

#1 of 8

Leader

Philadelphia Waterdogs 15¢

Range

2¢-15¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXPLL-26-PHI

May 25, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

23¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

15¢

Ask

23¢

Spread

Reported volume

$781

Family rank

#1 of 8

8 outcomes · KXPLL-26

Closes

Oct 4, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

15 / 23¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
15¢32
14¢311
5¢51
4¢800
3¢25
AskSize
23¢296
32¢91
33¢181
34¢188
35¢219

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Philadelphia Waterdogs win the 2026 Premier Lacrosse League (PLL) Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 4, 2026

Identifier

KXPLL-26-PHI

SF Signal
SF Index
780.17
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1560.3%

IY (No)

48.6%

Adj IY

780%

CRI

6

Overround

-0.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1560.3%
48.6%
Adj IY
780%
6
Overround
-0.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.