Will Denver Outlaws win the 2026 Premier Lacrosse League (PLL) Championship

30-day trend

Analysis

Denver Outlaws have a 13% implied probability of winning the 2026 PLL Championship, meaning the market assigns them roughly 1-in-8 odds. This places them fourth among tracked teams, behind Philadelphia Waterdogs (16%), New York Atlas (18%), and significantly ahead of Utah Archers (4%). The Outlaws' positioning likely reflects their roster strength and historical performance relative to competitors, though the championship outcome depends heavily on regular-season results through the summer, playoff seeding, and match-up dynamics in August's playoff tournament. The low trading volume on this contract ($0 in 24 hours) suggests limited recent market activity and potentially wider bid-ask spreads. Final resolution occurs at the end of the 2026 PLL season when the championship winner is determined.

• ›Denver's regular-season win-loss record and playoff seeding position, which directly determine tournament matchups and path to the championship
• ›Head-to-head performance against Philadelphia (16% odds) and New York (18% odds) in regular-season contests, signaling relative team strength
• ›Injury status of key Outlaws players through the season, particularly defenders and the starting goaltender, affecting roster availability for playoffs
• ›The complete PLL playoff bracket structure and tournament format, which determines whether Denver faces higher-seeded favorites early or has a favorable path
• ›Comparative odds movement for other PLL teams, indicating whether market confidence is shifting toward or away from Denver relative to the field

What moved the line

• May 23New York Atlas↓8pp15→7¢ · Kalshi
• May 27New York Atlas↑7pp14→21¢ · Kalshi
• May 27Carolina Chaos↑5pp9→14¢ · Kalshi
• May 26California Redwoods↑4pp5→9¢ · Kalshi
• May 24Carolina Chaos↓4pp9→5¢ · Kalshi

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds