SimpleFunctions

Philadelphia · KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27

Philadelphia is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27.

Price history

2¢ current

−8¢
0¢10¢
Sep 11, 2026Oct 11, 2026

Contract brief

If Philadelphia wins the Pro Football NFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Philadelphia

Rank

#8 of 16

Leader

San Francisco 16¢

Range

1¢-16¢

Family volume

$83K

Identifier

KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-PHI

Oct 11, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 23h ago

Implied probability

2¢
Latest venue quote
Oct 11, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 23h ago

Bid

2¢

Ask

3¢

Spread

1¢

24h volume

$158K

Family rank

#8 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27

Closes

Feb 22, 2027

Family volume

$83K

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 3¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢202K
2¢95K
AskSize
3¢55
4¢249K
5¢78K
6¢108
7¢35K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Philadelphia wins the Pro Football NFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 22, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-PHI

SF Signal
SF Index
3270.34
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

6540.7%

IY (No)

11.4%

Adj IY

3270%

CRI

24

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

6540.7%
11.4%
Adj IY
3270%
24
Overround
-0.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.