Will Los Angeles R win the Pro Football NFC Championship
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 8% across 12 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
8%
12 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$11K
12 contracts
Closes
Feb 13, 2029
1017 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
12 clusters across 12 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Chicago win the Pro Football NFC Championship
Will Chicago win the Pro Football NFC Championship?: Chicago
KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-CHI
Cluster 2
Will Washington win the Pro Football NFC Championship
Will Washington win the Pro Football NFC Championship?: Washington
KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-WAS
Cluster 3
Will Dallas win the Pro Football NFC Championship
Will Dallas win the Pro Football NFC Championship?: Dallas
KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-DAL
Cluster 4
Will Seattle win the Pro Football NFC Championship
Will Seattle win the Pro Football NFC Championship?: Seattle
KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-SEA
Cluster 5
Will New York G win the Pro Football NFC Championship
Will New York G win the Pro Football NFC Championship?: New York G
KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-NYG
Cluster 6
Will Detroit win the Pro Football NFC Championship
Will Detroit win the Pro Football NFC Championship?: Detroit
KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-DET
Cluster 7
Will San Francisco win the Pro Football NFC Championship
Will San Francisco win the Pro Football NFC Championship?: San Francisco
KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-SF
Cluster 8
Will Los Angeles R win the Pro Football NFC Championship
Will Los Angeles R win the Pro Football NFC Championship?: Los Angeles R
KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-LAR
Cluster 9
Will Minnesota win the Pro Football NFC Championship
Will Minnesota win the Pro Football NFC Championship?: Minnesota
KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-MIN
Cluster 10
Will Tampa Bay win the Pro Football NFC Championship
Will Tampa Bay win the Pro Football NFC Championship?: Tampa Bay
KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-TB
Cluster 11
Will Green Bay win the Pro Football NFC Championship
Will Green Bay win the Pro Football NFC Championship?: Green Bay
KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-GB
Cluster 12
Will Philadelphia win the Pro Football NFC Championship
Will Philadelphia win the Pro Football NFC Championship?: Philadelphia
KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-PHI
Analysis
This contract predicts whether the Los Angeles R will win the NFC Championship during the 2026 NFL season, currently priced at 8% probability. The relatively low odds reflect that winning a conference championship requires sustained success through multiple playoff rounds—typically only two of 16 teams per conference advance that far. Key drivers for this probability include the team's current roster strength, injury status heading into the season, and their playoff track record. The primary catalyst for price movement will be the team's regular season performance from September through December 2026, with significant shifts likely after key divisional matchups and as the playoff picture clarifies in late autumn. The market will ultimately resolve when the 2027 NFC Championship game is played in early January.
- ›Los Angeles R's regular season win-loss record through Week 17 of the 2026 NFL season (directly affects playoff seeding and matchup difficulty)
- ›Health and availability of key offensive and defensive players heading into and throughout the 2026 season
- ›Historical playoff performance: whether the team has demonstrated championship-caliber execution in previous postseason appearances
- ›Strength of competing NFC teams and divisional performance relative to Los Angeles R's conference peers
- ›The team's performance in critical September-December games that typically determine playoff qualification and seeding
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.