SimpleFunctions
11 source contracts·Kalshi 11·refreshed just now·Closes Feb 22, 2027 · 243d

Will Los Angeles R win the Pro Football NFC Championship

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 8% across 11 Kalshi contracts.

Implied probability

8%
0%50%100%

Kalshi

8%

11 contracts

Polymarket

not bound

Cross-venue gap

single venue

24h move

no pin

24h volume

$18K

11 contracts

Closes

Feb 22, 2027

243 days

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayAggregate: 3% (21 days, 21 points)Aggregate: 3% on 2026-06-24
Aggregate of 11 contracts · 21d

Bracket families

11 clusters across 11 contracts.

These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.

Cluster 1

Will Philadelphia win the Pro Football NFC Championship

1 contract$5K

Cluster 2

Will Minnesota win the Pro Football NFC Championship

1 contract$4K

Cluster 3

Will San Francisco win the Pro Football NFC Championship

1 contract$3K

Cluster 4

Will Dallas win the Pro Football NFC Championship

1 contract$2K

Cluster 5

Will New York G win the Pro Football NFC Championship

1 contract$2K

Cluster 6

Will Los Angeles R win the Pro Football NFC Championship

1 contract$954

Cluster 7

Will Seattle win the Pro Football NFC Championship

1 contract$180

Cluster 8

Will Green Bay win the Pro Football NFC Championship

1 contract$115

Cluster 9

Will Detroit win the Pro Football NFC Championship

1 contract$104

Cluster 10

Will Chicago win the Pro Football NFC Championship

1 contract$11

Cluster 11

Will Washington win the Pro Football NFC Championship

1 contract$0

Analysis

This contract predicts whether the Los Angeles R will win the NFC Championship during the 2026 NFL season, currently priced at 8% probability. The relatively low odds reflect that winning a conference championship requires sustained success through multiple playoff rounds—typically only two of 16 teams per conference advance that far. Key drivers for this probability include the team's current roster strength, injury status heading into the season, and their playoff track record. The primary catalyst for price movement will be the team's regular season performance from September through December 2026, with significant shifts likely after key divisional matchups and as the playoff picture clarifies in late autumn. The market will ultimately resolve when the 2027 NFC Championship game is played in early January.

  • Los Angeles R's regular season win-loss record through Week 17 of the 2026 NFL season (directly affects playoff seeding and matchup difficulty)
  • Health and availability of key offensive and defensive players heading into and throughout the 2026 season
  • Historical playoff performance: whether the team has demonstrated championship-caliber execution in previous postseason appearances
  • Strength of competing NFC teams and divisional performance relative to Los Angeles R's conference peers
  • The team's performance in critical September-December games that typically determine playoff qualification and seeding

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

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